30 To 1 Payout
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This article discusses Microsoft's payment schedule, where to find the status of a payout, and the process for customer non-payment.
Payment schedules
The following sections describe our payouts process for Enterprise Agreement and credit card/invoice transactions.
Enterprise Agreement transactions
When a customer purchases a product from Microsoft AppSource or Azure Marketplace using their existing Microsoft Enterprise Agreement for transactions, we will issue payouts in the next payout cycle 30-days post customer invoice. Transactions where a customer uses a credit card have a 30-day holding period prior to payout.
30 To 1 Odds Calculator
A payout will often occur before Microsoft collects payment from the customer. See Process for customer non-payment below for the actions we take if the customer fails to pay Microsoft but we have already issued a payout.
Event | Description | Reporting Visibility | Timing* |
---|---|---|---|
Usage or month of transaction | Customer uses or buys a service. | Usage or Order Dashboard | Month 1 |
Microsoft calculates billing amount | Determine total usage, total transactions | Usage or Order Dashboard | Month 2 |
Payout posted | Determine agency fee and payout earnings | Marked as Unprocessed in Transaction History on the payout statement | Month 3 (1st week) |
Prepare payout | Earnings are prepared for monthly payment | Marked as Upcoming in Transaction History in the payout statement | Month 3 (1st week) |
Payout sent | Payment is sent to publisher | Marked as Sent in Transaction History and in the Payments section of the payout statement | Month 3 (no later than the 15th) |
Invoice paid by customer | Microsoft collects payment from customer | No change | Month 4 through 12 |
* Payout date is in Pacific Standard Time (PST).
Transactions with credit card or invoice (check/wire)
All purchases with a credit card or monthly invoice have a 30-day holding period to ensure funds are collected from the customer.
Event | Description | Reporting Visibility | Timing* |
---|---|---|---|
Usage or month of transaction | Customer uses or buys a service. | Usage or Order Dashboard | Month 1 |
Invoice paid by customer | Determine total usage, total transaction value, and customer pays invoice | Usage or Order Dashboard | Month 2 |
Payout posted | Determine agency fee and payout earnings | Marked as Unprocessed in Transaction History on the payout statement | Month 2 |
30-day holding period | Ensure collection of funds, possible chargebacks, and refund requests | Marked as Unprocessed in Transaction History on the payout statement | Month 3 |
Prepare payout | Earnings are prepared for monthly payment | Marked as Upcoming in Transaction History in the payout statement | Month 4 (1st week) |
Payout sent | Payment is sent to publisher | Marked as Sent in Transaction History and in the Payments section of the payout statement | Month 4 (no later than the 15th) |
* The payout date is in Pacific Standard Time (PST).
Process for customer non-payment
On rare occasions, Microsoft is unable to collect payments from customers for their commercial marketplace purchases. When a customer fails to pay Microsoft according to their billing schedule, we begin the collections process. This process takes approximately four months and involves persistent communication from Microsoft. If payment is not received by the end of this process, Microsoft writes off the funds as uncollectable.
Per the payout process articulated here, Microsoft may have already paid out funds to publishers (you) that are ultimately uncollectable. Therefore, we have a process for reconciling these amounts. To ensure you have warning that your (already received) payment may be reconciled, you will be notified when a customer is in the collections process and purchases are likely to be written off.
Microsoft will recoup any payouts already paid to you using one of the following methods: (1) Microsoft may subtract the unpaid amounts from future payouts; for example, if $1,000 in payouts are deemed uncollectable and written off, your future payouts will be withheld until the $1,000 is recovered, or (2) Microsoft may request a refund or invoice publishers for any uncollected amounts.
The following is an example schedule:
Event | Approximate date* | Partner visibility |
---|---|---|
Example payout date | 10/15/2020 | Marked as Sent in Transaction History and in Payments section in Payout Dashboard |
If customer does not pay Microsoft | 12/2/2020 – 12/5/2020 | No change, same as above |
Customer receives first late payment email | 12/6/2020 | None |
Customer receives regular emails of increasing urgency | 12/7/2020 – 1/31/2021 | None |
Publisher is notified write-off is likely | 1/7/2021 | Email notification sent to publisher that their customer has not yet sent payment. Transaction ID and dollar amount are included. |
Customer receives termination notice | 2/1/2021 | None |
Collection process ends / funds are written off | 2/15/2021 | Email notification sent to publisher that funds have been written off. Transaction ID and dollar amount are included. |
Payout is deducted | 3/1/2021 | Publisher will see negative transaction in Partner Center payout statement |
Payout is withheld | 3/15/2021 | Future payouts will be shown in Partner Center payout statement. Publisher will not receive payment until balance is no longer negative. |
* The payout date is in Pacific Standard Time (PST).
30 To 1 Payout Calculator
Number of days for payments to reach a payout account
We typically send any payment due in a given month on the 15th day of that month, but it takes additional time for the payment to reach your account. The number of days depends on the payment method we use for your account, as described below.
Note
The days shown below are approximate; any payment may take more or less time to reach your account.
Payment method | Number of days to reach payout account |
---|---|
PayPal | 1 business day |
ACH/SEPA | 2-3 business days |
Wire Transfer | 7-10 business days |
Next steps
A parlay, accumulator (or acca), combo bet or multi is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay is that there are much higher payoffs than placing each individual bet separately, since the difficulty of hitting all of them is much higher. If any of the bets in the parlay lose, the entire parlay loses. If any of the plays in the parlay ties, or 'pushes', the parlay reverts to a lower number of teams with the odds reducing accordingly.
Odds and payout[edit]
Parlay bets are paid out at odds higher than the typical single game bet, but still below the 'true' odds. For instance, a common 2-team NFL parlay based entirely on the spread generally has a payout of 2.6:1.[citation needed] In reality however, if one assumes that each single game bet is 50/50, the true payout should instead be 3:1 (10% expected value for the house). A house may average 20-30% profit on spread parlays compared to perhaps 4.5% profit on individual sports mix parlay bets.
Aside from 'spread' parlays, another way to parlay is to bet on two or more teams simply winning straight up. In order to calculate the payout of this parlay, one must multiply out the payout for all games. For example, if 3 teams are -385 favorites, a successful parlay on all 3 teams winning would pay out at a ratio of approximately 1/1. This is because (385/485)^3 is approximately 50%.
Examples[edit]
Typical payouts for up to 10 team parlay bet[edit]
The following is an example of a traditional Las Vegas Parlay Card at William Hill Sports Book, which shows the typical payouts for an up to 10 team parlay bet based on -1.10 prices (amount won is assuming $100 is bet)[citation needed]:
Number | Odds | Amount won | Payout |
---|---|---|---|
2 Team Parlay | 2.6 to 1 | $260 | $360 |
3 Team Parlay | 6 to 1 | $600 | $700 |
4 Team Parlay | 11 to 1 | $1,100 | $1,200 |
5 Team Parlay | 22 to 1 | $2,200 | $2,300 |
6 Team Parlay | 45 to 1 | $4,500 | $4,600 |
7 Team Parlay | 90 to 1 | $9,000 | $9,100 |
8 Team Parlay | 180 to 1 | $18,000 | $18,100 |
9 Team Parlay | 360 to 1 | $36,000 | $36,100 |
10 Team Parlay | 720 to 1 | $72,000 | $72,100 |
Profitability of parlays in sports betting[edit]
Many gamblers have mixed feelings as to whether or not parlays are a wise play. The best way to analyze if they are profitable in the long term is by calculating the expected value. The formula for expected value is: E[X] = x1p1 + x2p2 + x3p3…xkpk . Since the probability of all possible events will add up to 1 this can also be looked at as the weighted average of the event. The table below represents odds.[citation needed]
Column 1 = number of individual bets in the parlay
Column 2 = correct odds of winning with 50% chance of winning each individual bet
Column 3 = odds payout of parlay at the sportsbook
Column 4 = correct odds of winning parlay with 55% chance of winning each individual bet
Number of individual bets | Correct odds at 50% | Odds payout at sportsbook | Correct odds of winning parlay at 55% |
---|---|---|---|
2 | 3 to 1 | 2.6 to 1 | 2.3 to 1 |
3 | 7 to 1 | 6 to 1 | 5.0 to 1 |
4 | 15 to 1 | 12 to 1 | 9.9 to 1 |
5 | 31 to 1 | 24 to 1 | 18.9 to 1 |
6 | 63 to 1 | 48 to 1 | 35.1 to 1 |
7 | 127 to 1 | 92 to 1 | 64.7 to 1 |
8 | 255 to 1 | 176 to 1 | 118.4 to 1 |
9 | 511 to 1 | 337 to 1 | 216.1 to 1 |
10 | 1,023 to 1 | 645 to 1 | 393.8 to 1 |
11 | 2,047 to 1 | 1,233 to 1 | 716.8 to 1 |
The table illustrates that if a 55% chance of winning each individual bet were achievable, parlays would be profitable in the long term. Compare the expected value you receive on an individual bet at a typical price of -110 with a 55% chance of winning: ((100/110+1)*.55)-1 = .05 (exactly 5 cents won for every dollar bet on average), multiplied by 11 = .55, to the expected return on the 11 game parlay ((1234/717.8)-1) = .719 (72 cents won for every dollar bet on average). In this case a parlay has a much higher expected value than individual bets with greatly increased variance in outcomes.